基于安德森模型的洱海流域小农户养老方式选择偏好及影响因素研究

The Preference of Small Farmers in Erhai Lake Basin toChoose Their Pension Method and Its InfluencingFactors Based on Andersen Model

  • 摘要: 为探索洱海流域小农户养老方式的选择偏好及影响因素,采用多阶段随机抽样方法抽取洱海流域40岁以上的村民290位,进行问卷调查获取数据;基于286份有效问卷运用卡方检验和二元Logistic回归,从40岁以上人员对养老相关问题的看法,分析小农户养老方式选择偏好的差异;以安德森行为模型为理论框架,探究倾向性因素、使能因素、需求性因素对洱海流域小农户养老方式选择偏好的影响。结果显示:洱海流域小农户目前以家庭养老作为主要的养老方式,倾向性因素是养老方式选择偏好最主要的影响因素,需求性因素次之。建议多方主体积极引导当地农户转变传统的养老观念,积极探索适合当地小农户的多元的养老方式,加大养老工作方面资金的投入力度。

     

    Abstract: To explore the preferences and influencing factors of pension mode for small farmers in the Erhai Lake Basin, Using multi-stage random sampling method, 290 individuals aged 40 and above from 290 households in the Erhai Lake Basin were selected for questionnaire survey to obtain data; Based on 286 valid questionnaires, chi square test and binary logistic regression were used to analyze the differences in preferences of small farmers in choosing pension mode from the perspectives of in dividual over 40 years old on pension mode related issues; Using the Anderson behavior model as a theoretical framework, this study explored the effects of propensity factors, enabling factors, and demand factors on the preferences of small farmers in the Erhai Lake Basin for pension mode. The results showed that, small farmers in the Erhai Lake Basin currently relied on family pension mode as their main way of providing for the elderly, with propensity being the main influencing factor in their preference for pension mode, followed by demand factors. It was recommended that relevant departments actively guide local farmers to change their traditional elderly care concepts, increase investment in elderly care work and actively explore diversified elderly care methods suitable for local small farmers.

     

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