林业产业集聚对林业经济增长的影响研究基于南方集体林区11省(自治区)实证分析

The Impact of Forestry Industry Agglomeration on Forestry Economic Growth:An Empirical Analysis Based on 11 Provinces and Autonomous Region in Southern Collective Forest Areas

  • 摘要: 在理论分析林业产业集聚对林业经济增长的影响基础之上,以南方集体林区11省(自治区)为例,利用1998—2018年的长面板数据,采用区位熵指数测度了南方集体林区11省(自治区)的林业产业集聚水平。基于柯布—道格拉斯生产函数,在选择固定效应模型后,采用可行广义最小二乘法(FGLS)以及utest检验,实证分析了林业产业集聚对林业经济增长的影响。结果表明:(1)南方集体林区11省(自治区)的林业产业集聚水平存在时空差异;(2)林业产业集聚与林业经济增长之间存在“倒U型”关系。因此首先要注重林业产业集聚发展规律,将其控制在合理范围内;其次是要注重提升林业产业集聚质量,优化产业布局;最后则是要制定差异性、针对性的林业产业集聚发展措施。

     

    Abstract: Based on the theoretical analysis of the impact of forestry industrial agglomeration on forestry economic growth,taking 11 provinces of southern collcetive forestry area as an example,this paper uses the long panel data from 1998 to 2018 to measure the level of forestry industrial agglomeration on 11 provinces in southern collective forestry area by using the location entropy index. Based on the Cobb-Douglas production function, after selecting the fixed-effects model, the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) and utest test are used to empirically analyze the impact of forestry industry agglomeration on forestry economic growth. The research results show that: (1) there are spatial and temporal differences in the level of forestry industry agglomeration on 11 provinces in southern collective forest area; (2) there is an “inverted U-shaped” relationship between forestry industry agglomeration and forestry economic growth. Therefore, firstly, we should pay attention to the law of forestry industry agglomeration development and control it within a reasonable range; secondly, we should focus on improving the quality of forestry industry agglomeration and optimizing the industrial layout; finally, we should develop different and targeted industrial agglomeration development measures.

     

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