郭利京, 孙雪莲. ARIMA模型在云南省固定资产投资预测中的应用[J]. 云南农业大学学报(社会科学), 2007, 1(1): 63-67.
引用本文: 郭利京, 孙雪莲. ARIMA模型在云南省固定资产投资预测中的应用[J]. 云南农业大学学报(社会科学), 2007, 1(1): 63-67.
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GUO Li-jing, SUN Xue-lian. The Application of ARIMA Model in Yunnan Province's Fixed Investments Forecasting[J]. Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University (Social Science), 2007, 1(1): 63-67.
Citation: GUO Li-jing, SUN Xue-lian. The Application of ARIMA Model in Yunnan Province's Fixed Investments Forecasting[J]. Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University (Social Science), 2007, 1(1): 63-67.
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ARIMA模型在云南省固定资产投资预测中的应用

The Application of ARIMA Model in Yunnan Province's Fixed Investments Forecasting

    摘要
  • 摘要: 采用自回归求积移动平均(ARIMA)法，对云南省历年固定资产投资额进行了分析。结果显示，ARIAM(4，1，4)模型提供较准确的预测效果，可用于未来的预测，并为今后几年云南省全社会固定资产投资提供可靠依据。

     

    Abstract: This paper applys ARIMA method to analyse data of the volume of investment in fixed assets of Yunnan Province. It shows the forecast of ARIAM (4, 1, 4) model is exact.It can be used to forecast, and provide the reliable basis for investing in fixed assets of Yunnan Province.

     

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