农业新质生产力对粮食生产韧性的影响

The Impact of Agricultural New Quality Productive Forces on Resilience of Grain Production

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2022年中国粮食主产区的面板数据,实证分析农业新质生产力对粮食生产韧性的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明,农业新质生产力显著增强粮食生产韧性;主要通过提升农业劳动效率、促进农业产业结构升级、增强农业科技创新来增强粮食生产韧性;东部和东北部粮食主产区以及非粮食净调出省区市的促进作用更为显著。基于此,建议继续深化发展农业新质生产力,充分发挥农业劳动生产率提升和农业科技创新的协同效应,多维度增强粮食生产韧性,为我国粮食安全保障和农业强国建设提供坚实支撑。

     

    Abstract: Using 2013–2022 panel data from China’ s major grain-producing regions, this study empirically examined how agricultural new quality productive forces affect grain production resilience and its mechanisms. Results showed that, agricultural new quality productive forces significantly enhanced grain production resilience primarily through three channels: boosting agricultural labor efficiency, promoting agricultural industrial structure upgrading, and strengthening technological innovation. These effects were more pronounced in eastern/northeastern production regions and non-net grain-exporting provinces. It proposed deepening agricultural new quality productive forces development, leveraging synergies between labor productivity and technological innovation, and adopting multidimensional approaches to strengthen resilience—supporting national food security and agricultural powerhouse construction.

     

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