农业与物流业协同发展及关键影响因素研究

The Collaborative Development and Key Influencing Factors of Agriculture and Logistics Industry

  • 摘要: 基于复合系统协调度模型研究2010—2019年我国农业与物流业协同发展水平及其时间变化趋势;以灰色关联度模型测算两业关联度,探明影响两业协同发展的关键因素。结果表明:(1)两业协同发展水平较低,但呈螺旋式上升趋势;(2)农村居民消费能力和主要港口主要货物吞吐量分别是影响物流业和农业发展的关键因素。提出建议:(1)农业领域应推进农业供给侧改革,鼓励发展农村合作社,拓宽农产品销售渠道;(2)物流领域应加强港口与腹地农业联系,改善物流基础设施和技术设备,进一步推进简政降费改革,培养专业人才。

     

    Abstract: Based on the coordination degree model of composite system, this paper studies the collaborative development level and time trend of China’ s agriculture and logistics industry from 2010 to 2019, calculates the correlation degree of the two industries with the grey correlation degree model, and explores the key factors affecting the collaborative development of the two industries. The results show that: (1) the level of collaborative development of the two industries is low, but it shows a spiral upward trend; (2) The consumption capacity of rural residents and the main cargo throughput of main ports are the key factors affecting the development of logistics industry and agriculture respectively. Based on this, this paper puts forward the following suggestions: (1) in the field of agriculture, we should promote the reform of agricultural supply side, encourage the development of rural cooperatives, and broaden the sales channels of agricultural products; (2) in the field of logistics, we should strengthen the connection between port and hinterland agriculture, improve the logistics infrastructure and technical equipment, further promote the reform of streamlining administration and reducing fees, and cultivate professional talents.

     

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