粮食全要素生产率及影响因素研究基于2008—2017年四川省市级面板数据的实证分析

Study on Total Factor Productivity and Influencing Factors of Grain: Based on the Empirical of Municipal Panel Date from 2008 to 2017 in Sichuan Province

  • 摘要: 采用DEA-Malmquist指数法分析2008—2017年四川省粮食全要素生产率的演变情况,并运用面板线性回归模型、面板Logit模型和面板Tobit模型对全要素生产率的影响因素进行实证研究。结果表明:(1)2007—2017年期间,四川省粮食全要素生产率年均水平未发生变化,整体表现为“W型”趋势,增长主要源于技术进步单轨驱动;四川省各市州粮食全要素生产率、技术进步和技术效率存在显著差异。(2)地区经济发展水平、研发投入水平和农业经营规模水平显著正向影响四川省粮食全要素生产率;机械化水平和农业结构调整度显著负向影响四川省粮食全要素生产率。建议四川省高度重视粮食生产,统筹推进区域协调发展,不断加大科技推广力度,持续增加研发投入,稳步提升农业经营规模水平。

     

    Abstract: This paper uses the DEA-Malmquist index method to analyze the evolution of total factor productivity of grain in Sichuan province from 2008 to 2017, and uses the panel linear regression model, panel Logit model and panel Tobit model to conduct an empirical study on the influencing factors of total factor productivity. The results show that during 2007—2017, the annual average level of total factor productivity of grain in Sichuan has not changed, and the overall performance is a “W” trend, the growth is mainly driven by the single track of technological progress; there are significant differences in total factor productivity, technological progress and technological efficiency of grain in all cities of Sichuan Province. The levels of regional economic development, R & D investment and agricultural operation scale have a significant positive impact on the total factor productivity of Sichuan grain. The levels of mechanization and agricultural structure have a significant negative impact on the total factor productivity of Sichuan grain. It is suggested that Sichuan province attach great importance to grain production, promote regional coordinated development as a whole, continuously increase the promotion of science and technology, continuously increase R & D investment, and steadily improve the level of agricultural operation scale.

     

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