安徽省县域农村人口空心化空间分异及影响因素研究

The Spatial Differentiation of Rural Population Hollowing in Counties and Influencing Factors in Anhui Province

  • 摘要: 农村人口空心化是城乡二元结构长期冲击下的产物,如何解决县域人口空心化问题是乡村振兴战略实施过程中必须要面对的问题。本文采用熵权法、多指标综合评价法、地理集中指数和多元线性回归等方法对人口空心化程度进行测度,揭示其空间分异特征及影响因素。结果表明:(1)安徽省农村人口空心化程度地域差异较大,最高均值为皖北19.64,最低均值为皖中15.96。(2)安徽省农村人口空心化空间主体呈集聚分布,而皖中呈随机分布。(3)安徽省人口空心化是受多种因素综合影响的结果,财政支出教育支出占比、城乡居民人均可支配收入差距是导致安徽省人口空心化的主要因素,而城镇化率的提升一定程度缓解了农村人口空心化。

     

    Abstract: Rural population hollowing is the product of the long-term impact of urban-rural dual structure. How to solve the problem of hollowing out of county population is a problem that must be faced in the implementation of the strategy of Rural Revitalization. In this paper, entropy weight method, multi index comprehensive evaluation method, geographic concentration index and multiple linear regression are used to measure the degree of population hollowing out, and its spatial differentiation characteristics and influencing factors are revealed. The results show that:(1)There are great regional differences in hollowing degree of rural population in Anhui Province, with the highest mean of 19.64 in Northern Anhui and the lowest mean of 15.96 in central Anhui.(2)The spatial subject of rural population hollowing out in Anhui Province is concentrated distribution, while that in central Anhui Province is random distribution.(3)Rural population hollowing in Anhui Province is the result of a variety of factors. The proportion of financial expenditure on education and the gap between the per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents are the main factors that lead to the hollowing out of population in Anhui Province, while the increase of urbanization rate alleviates the hollowing out of rural population to some extent.

     

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