基于灰色关联的福建林业产业增长影响因素分析

The Influencing Factors of Fujian Forestry Industry Based on Grey Dynamic Relevance Analysis

  • 摘要: 林业是福建省传统特色优势产业,在福建生态文明战略施行过程中发挥重要作用。为进一步厘清福建林业产业增长的影响因素,本研究在对福建省2010—2018年期间林业三次产业数据进行分析的过程中,以灰色关联法为工具,通过构建灰色动态关联矩阵,计算林业三次产业及其内部结构与福建林业产业发展的关联度。研究表明,福建省林业第二产业与福建林业产业总产值关联度最高,第一产业次之,第三产业最弱,并针对性地提出夯实林业第一产业基础、优化林业第二产业结构、积极培育林业第三产业经济增长点对策建议,以期为优化福建林业产业结构提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Forestry is a traditional characteristic industry in Fujian Province, which plays an important role in the implementation of Fujian Ecological Civilization strategy. In order to further clarify the influencing factors of the growth of the industry, this work analyzed the data from 2010 to 2018, used the grey dynamic relevance analysis method to calculate the correlation among the three forestry industries and their internal structure. The results showed that the second industry of forestry in Fujian Province has the highest correlation with the total output, followed by the first industry, and then the third industry, which is the weakest. Finally, this work put forward the suggestions to optimize the structure of Fujian forestry industry, which including strengthening the foundation of the first industry of forestry, optimizing the structure of the second industry of forestry, and cultivating the economic growth point of the third industry of forestry.

     

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