我国农产品出口的因素研究——以中美贸易为例

The Factors of China's Agricultural Exports: A Case of Sino-US Trade

  • 摘要: 在梳理现有相关文献的基础上,根据2002—2017年的农产品对外贸易数据,运用因子分析和多元回归的方法深入分析了影响我国农产品出口的因素。在此基础上,文章通过对2002—2017年美国GDP总额、历年中国外汇储备、中国年度GDP增长率、中国GDP总额、历年中国进口美国农产品总额、历年美国对华通报的技术性事件、中国历年农产品进口额、历年中国对美国出口农产品总额,共8个指标的数据进行了处理和分析,探讨了影响我国农产品出口的主要因素,并且根据模型分析结果,提出了对策建议。

     

    Abstract: On the basis of combing the existing relevant literature and based on the foreign trade data of agricultural products from 2002 to 2017, factors affecting the export of agricultural products in China are analyzed in depth with the method of factor analysis and multiple regression. And based on 2002-2017, American GDP, China's foreign exchange reserves over the year, China's annual GDP growth rate, China's total GDP, China's import of American agricultural products throughout the years, America's China reporting technical events calendar year, Chinese imports of agricultural products throughout the years, China's agricultural products exports to the United States in total calendar year, a total of eight indicators data processing and analysis, this paper discusses the main factors affecting China's exports of agricultural products, and according to the results of model analysis, it puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions.

     

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