全国玉米主产区生产效率分析及影响因素研究——基于DEA-Tobit两步法

Production Efficiency Analysis and Influence Factors Research of Maize in China's Main Producing Areas: Based on the Two Step Method of DEA-Tobit

  • 摘要: 近年来,我国主产区玉米发展仍存在结构性问题。本文利用2005-2017年17个主产省玉米相关数据,采用超效率DEA模型测算玉米生产综合技术效率、纯技术效率、规模效率以及2016年各个主产区产出、投入松弛变量,使用Tobit方法回归影响玉米生产综合技术效率的因素。结果表明:(1)我国主产区玉米生产综合效率普遍呈下降趋势;(2)2016年山西、甘肃、宁夏、新疆、四川、贵州省玉米相应效率值皆达到DEA有效,吉林、辽宁、山东、河南、云南、江苏省化肥费和人工费投入过量;(3)城镇化率、灌溉率、城乡收入比对玉米综合效率提高有抑制作用,机械费、种子价格、土地成本对玉米综合效率提高有促进作用。最后,提出针对性的结构性调整建议。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, there are still structural problems in the development of maize in China's main producing areas. In this paper, the corn-related data of 17 major production provinces from 2005 to 2017 were used to measure the comprehensive technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency, scale efficiency and output of each major production area in 2016, and input relaxation variables were calculated by using superefficiency DEA model. The factors influencing the comprehensive technical efficiency of maize production were regressed by Tobit method. The results are as follows:(1) the overall efficiency of maize production in the main producing areas of China generally shows a downward trend; (2) in 2016 the corresponding efficiency values of Shanxi, Gansu, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Sichuan and Guizhou provinces are all reached.Effective to DEA, Jilin, Liaoning, Shandong, Henan, Yunnan, Jiangsu Province, chemical fertilizer and labor costs input excessive; (3) urbanization rate, irrigation rate and urban-rural income ratio can inhibit the improvement of maize comprehensive efficiency, and the cost of machinery, seed price and land cost can promote the improvement of maize comprehensive efficiency. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions for structural adjustment.

     

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