云南省入境旅游与进出口贸易互动关系研究

刘晓佳; 朱晓辉; 张施伟

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-390X(s).2018.03.013

云南省入境旅游与进出口贸易互动关系研究

1.
云南财经大学旅游文化产业研究院, 云南昆明 650221
2.
云南财经大学城市与环境学院, 云南昆明 650221

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金“西南陆疆边境跨境旅游发展空间格局、机制及模式研究”（41671147）;云南财经大学研究生创新基金项目“云南省边境地区入境旅游与进出口贸易的互动研究：基于瑞丽口岸的实证检验”（2017YUFEYC043）。

详细信息

作者简介:
刘晓佳(1993-),女,山西省晋中人,硕士研究生,主要从事旅游经济与管理研究。E-mail:2219318536@qq.com

中图分类号: F59
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出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2018-01-26
- 修回日期: 2018-03-14
- 发布日期: 2018-06-09

The Interactive Relationship between Inbound Tourism and Import and Export Trade in Yunnan

1.
esearch Institute of Tourism Culture Industry, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, China
2.
School of Urban and Environment, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, China

摘要

摘要: 基于19962016年海外旅游者入境旅游人次与进出口贸易额的年度数据，对云南省入境旅游与进出口贸易的互动关系进行实证研究。结果表明：（1）入境旅游与进出口贸易之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系；（2）入境旅游与进口贸易互为格兰杰原因，入境旅游与出口贸易之间不存在格兰杰因果关系；（3）入境旅游的冲击对进出口贸易的影响较大，促进作用显著，入境旅游对进出口贸易的冲击以正向响应为主，进出口贸易对入境旅游有明显拉动作用；（4）入境旅游与进口贸易的发展主要依赖于其自身贡献，出口贸易的发展受入境旅游与进口贸易影响较大。根据实证检验结果，提出云南省发展入境旅游与进出口贸易的建议。
- 入境旅游 /
- 进出口贸易 /
- 协整检验 /
- 格兰杰因果关系检验 /
- 脉冲响应函数
Abstract: Based on the annual data of overseas tourists' inbound tourism trips and import and export volume from 1996 to 2016, this paper empirically studies the interactive relationship between entry tourism and import and export trade in Yunnan. The results showed that:(1) there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between inbound tourism and import and export trade; (2) inbound tourism and import trade are granger reasons for each other, there is no granger causality between inbound tourism and export trade; (3) The impact of inbound tourism has a significant influence on import and export trade, and the promotion effect is significant. The impact of inbound tourism on import and export trade is mainly positive, and import and export trade has obvious pulling effect on inbound tourism;(4) The development of inbound tourism and import trade depend mainly on its own contribution. The development of export trade is greatly influenced by inbound tourism and import trade. According to the result of empirical test, this paper puts forward the suggestions of developing inbound tourism and import and export trade in Yunnan Province.
- inbound tourism /
- import and export trade /
- co-integration test /
- Granger causality test /
- impulse response function

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