我国居民收入水平对社会消费品零售量的影响分析

The Impact Analysis of Residents' Income Level on Total Volume of Retail Sales

  • 摘要: 基于我国居民家庭人均可支配收入与人均社会商品零售总额间经济关系的理论, 通过对19782013年的相关数据实证分析发现城镇居民家庭人均可支配收入增加会使人均社会商品零售总额减少;农村情况则刚好相反。造成这个区别的因素主要是:我国的城乡居民的消费观念存在较大的差异。通过模型分析也发现城镇、农村居民家庭人均收入就短期而言都存在宏观经济传导滞后关系。最后提出了促进我国经济健康持续发展的具体建议。

     

    Abstract: Based on the theory of economic relationship between urban resident per capita disposable income and total retail sales per capita, the empirical data analysis for 19782013 showed that the increase of per capita disposable income of urban households will reduce the per capita total retail sales of social commodities. However the rural situation is just the opposite. This difference is mainly caused by the factors: The two variety of residents' consumption concept have significant differences. Module analysis also found that urban and rural residents per capita income of short term both have macroeconomic conduction lag. Finally detailed proposals for the sustainable and healthy development of our country's economy are put forward.

     

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