新时代我国农民收入的时空演化特征及启示

Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Implications of Farmers’ Income in China in the New Era

  • 摘要: 增加农民收入是“三农”工作的中心任务,是缩小城乡、地区差距的关键。2013—2025年面板数据分析显示:新时代以来,我国农民收入整体呈现趋势性耦合与结构性、空间性分异之势;全国及各省份农村常住居民人均可支配收入保持中高速增长并实现倍增,城乡居民收入差距逐渐缩小,地区间差距总体缩小的趋势性耦合特征明显;四类细分农民收入均保持较快增长,实现由经营净收入向工资性收入主导的根本转变,家庭经营性收入依赖型省份逐步减少、工资性收入主导型省份稳中有增、转移净收入支撑型省份逐年增加的分异特征。建议坚守持续增收核心引领、重塑经营增收主体导向、巩固务工增收核心支撑、优化转移净收入和提高财产净收入,推动农民收入高质量增量。

     

    Abstract: Increasing farmers’ income is the central task of work related to “three rural” (agriculture, rural areas, and farmers), and is critical to narrowing the urban-rural and regional gaps. The analysis of panel data from 2013 to 2025 showed that, since the beginning of the new era, farmers’ income in China had overall exhibited trend coupling along with structural and spatial differentiation. The trend coupling characteristics is clear that The per capita disposable income of rural permanent residents nationwide and in all provinces had maintained medium-to-high-speed growth and achieved doubling; the urban-rural income gap had gradually narrowed, and the trend-coupling feature of an overall narrowing of interregional gaps was evident. All four disaggregated categories of farmers’ income had maintained relatively rapid growth, achieving a foundamental shift from net operating income to wage income as the dominant source. The differentiation characteristics were as follows: provinces reliant on household operating income had gradually decreased, provinces dominated by wage income had increased steadily, and provinces supported by net transfer income had increased year by years. It suggests that China adhere to the core guidance of sustained income growth, reshape the main orientation of income growth through business operations, consolidate the key support of income growth through employment, optimize net transfer income, and increase net property income, so as to promote high-quality increments in farmers’ income.

     

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