大食物观背景下粮食安全与农业绿色低碳发展耦合协调研究

Research on the Coupling Coordination of Food Security and Agricultural Green Low-Carbon Agricultural Development under the Background of the Grand Food Perspective

  • 摘要: 推进农业绿色低碳转型、筑牢国家粮食安全屏障,是新时代我国践行生态文明建设、实现农业高质量发展的迫切需求。中国式现代化追求人与自然和谐共生,要求农业发展兼顾粮食安全底线与绿色低碳发展目标,推动二者良性协同发展。基于2013—2022年省域面板数据,立足多元化食物供给的大食物观,探析大食物观背景下粮食安全与农业绿色低碳的耦合协调及时空演化。结果发现:2013—2022年我国粮食安全水平与农业绿色低碳发展水平均呈上升趋势,前者涨幅较大,后者整体较高;二者增长趋同、长期耦合,协调水平逐步提升但区域差异明显;空间呈“东强西弱、北高南低”格局,集聚性显著且空间方向性差异弱化。为此建议分类破解失调短板,构建“东西联动、南北协同”格局,缩小区域差距。

     

    Abstract: Promoting the green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture and strengthening the national food security barrier are urgent requirements for China to practice ecological civilization construction and achieve high-quality agricultural development in the new era. The “Chinese path to modernization” pursues harmonious coexistence between humans and nature, requiring agricultural development to balance the bottom line of food security with the goals of green and low-carbon development, fostering their positive synergistic growth. Based on provincial panel data from 2013 to 2022 and grounded in the diversified food supply perspective, this study explored the coupling coordination and spatiotemporal evolution of food security and agricultural green and low-carbon development under the background of the grand food perspective. The findings revealed that from 2013 to 2022, both food security levels and agricultural green and low-carbon development levels in China had exhibited an upward trend, with the former experiencing a greater increase and the latter remaining relatively high overall. The growth of both factors converged over time, with coordination levels gradually improving but significant regional disparities persisting. Spatially, the pattern exhibited as “stronger in the east and weaker in the west, higher in the north and lower in the south”, showing significant agglomeration but weakening directional spatial differences. Therefore, it is recommended to address imbalances by category, establish a pattern of “east-west linkage and north-south coordination”, and reduce regional disparities.

     

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