云南省农文旅三元产业融合发展研究

Research on the Integrated Development of Agriculture, Culture, and Tourism Ternary Industries in Yunnan Province

  • 摘要: 为了探究云南省农业、文化、旅游(简称“农文旅”)融合的演变特征与驱动机理,本文基于2014—2023年面板数据,构建涵盖产业要素与产业绩效两个维度的指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型及灰色关联分析法展开实证研究。研究发现,云南省农文旅产业发展水平稳步提升,融合动力由初期的产业要素规模驱动转向后期的产业绩效内生增长拉动;耦合协调度由“严重失调”越至“优质协调”阶段,且有从“旅游滞后”向“农业滞后”演进的趋势,这反映出高水平协调阶段下农业绩效转化与文旅快速扩张间的动态错位;消费需求升级与资源载体发展是驱动三元融合的核心因素。据此,云南应进一步挖掘高原特色农业与民族文化的内在价值,合理优化农村劳动力季节性配置与高效利用,同时健全乡村交通路网体系以串联分散资源,并完善合作社利益联结与政策协同机制,推动三元产业持续高质量协同发展。

     

    Abstract: In order to explore the evolutionary characteristics and driving mechanism of the integration of agriculture, culture, and tourism (referred to as “Agri-Cultural Tourism”) in Yunnan Province, this paper constructed an index system covering the two dimensions of industrial factors and output performance based on the panel data from 2014 to 2023, and used entropy method, coupling coordination degree model, and grey correlation analysis method to carry out empirical research. The study found that the development level of Yunnan’s Agri-Cultural Tourism industry has steadily improved, with the driving force of integration shifting from an initial scale-driven pattern of industrial factors to a later endogenous growth pull of industrial performance. The coupled coordination degree has evolved from “severe imbalance” to “high-quality coordination”, with a trend evolving from “tourism lag” to “agricultural lag”, which reflected the dynamic dislocation between agricultural performance transformation and rapid expansion of cultural-tourism under the high-level coordination. The upgrading of consumer demand and the development of resource carriers are the core factors driving the ternary integration. Based on this, Yunnan should further explore the inherent value of plateau-specific agriculture and ethnic culture, rationally optimize the seasonal allocation and efficient utilization of rural labor, improve the rural transportation network system to connect scattered resources, and enhance the cooperative interest linkage and policy coordination mechanism, promoting the sustained and high-quality coordinated development of the tertiary industry.

     

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