基于资源整合及价值实现的云南农业经济与生态环境协同发展调查分析

Survey and Analysis on the Coordinated Development of Agricultural Economy and Ecological Environment in Yunnan Based on Resource Integration and Value Realization

  • 摘要: 为破解云南农业经济增长与生态保护的二元矛盾,为山地及边疆农业区协同发展提供参考,本文以2014—2023年云南省16个州市为研究单元,构建农业经济系统与生态环境系统双系统综合评价体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、灰色关联分析与障碍度模型,系统剖析双系统协同发展的时空演化规律、核心驱动因素及区域异质性障碍因子。结果表明:云南省农业经济系统年均增长40.12%,生态环境系统年均增长8.39%,双系统增长存在天然张力;耦合协调度实现五级跃升,2023年全域优质协调格局基本形成;城镇化率、农村居民人均可支配收入为核心驱动因素,灰色关联度分别达0.837、0.739;制约因素从生产端转向资源环境端,2023年水资源利用障碍度达44.23%,地级市与自治州障碍因子存在显著区域差异,边境自治州面临更复杂的发展与保护矛盾。研究可为云南及同类山地农业区农业经济与生态环境深度协同发展提供理论支撑与实践参考。

     

    Abstract: To resolve the dual contradiction between agricultural economic growth and ecological protection in Yunnan and provide a reference for the coordinated development of mountainous and border agricultural areas, this study took 16 prefectures and cities in Yunnan Province from 2014 to 2023 as research units, constructed a comprehensive evaluation system for the dual systems of agricultural economy and ecological environment, and used the entropy weight method, coupling coordination degree model, grey correlation analysis and obstacle degree model to systematically analyze the spatio-temporal evolution law, core driving factors and regional heterogeneous obstacle factors of the coordinated development of the two systems. The results showed that Yunnan's agricultural economy system had an average annual growth of 40.12% and the ecological environment system 8.39%, with a natural tension in the growth of the two systems; the coupling coordination degree achieved a five-level leap, and the pattern of high-quality coordination across the whole province was basically formed in 2023; the urbanization rate and per capita disposable income of rural residents were the core driving factors, with grey correlation degrees of 0.837 and 0.739 respectively; the restrictive factors shifted from the production side to the resource and environment side, with the obstacle degree of water resource utilization reaching 44.23% in 2023. There were significant regional differences in obstacle factors between prefecture-level cities and autonomous prefectures, and border autonomous prefectures faced more complex contradictions between development and protection. The research provides theoretical support and practical reference for the in-depth coordinated development of agricultural economy and ecological environment in Yunnan and similar regions.

     

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