新质生产力视角下乡村振兴的耦合发展与驱动机制研究基于农业科技园区的监测数据

Coupled Development and Driving Mechanism of Rural Revitalization under the Perspective of New Quality Productivity: Based on the Monitoring Data of Agricultural Science and Technology

  • 摘要: 从“农业强、农村美、农民富”的乡村振兴基本目标出发,基于新质生产力的特征内涵,构建了“农业升级—农村进步—农民发展”乡村振兴耦合协调评价指标体系。运用熵权法、耦合协调模型和地理探测器方法对2017—2023年华北、华东和华中地区的63家国家农业科技园区的“三农”耦合协调发展演化状况及其驱动机制进行研究。研究表明:农业科技园区的乡村振兴“三农”耦合协调发展总体仍处于失调状态,但总体趋势向好。园区“三农”耦合系统的协调发展存在明显的区域分异现象,尤其是农村发展的相对滞后成为阻碍园区“三农”耦合协调的重要瓶颈。创业孵化能力、创新聚集能力、科技创新能力和数字支撑能力是园区“三农”协调发展区域分异的主要影响因素。而环境支持能力在逐步成为新的重要驱动力,6项能力因素之间均具有非线性或双因子增强效应,而依托农业科技的乡村创业带动农民增收是目前实现乡村振兴协调发展的最佳方式。

     

    Abstract: From the basic goal of rural revitalization including “strong agriculture, beautiful countryside, and wealthy farmers” , and based on the characteristics of new quality productive forces, this study constructs an evaluation index system for the coupling coordination of rural revitalization, namely “agricultural upgrading—rural progress—farmer development” . Using the entropy weight method, coupling coordination model, and geographical detector, this study investigates the evolutionary status and driving mechanisms of the coupling coordination of “agriculture, countryside, and farmers” in 63 National Agricultural Science and Technology Parks in North China, East China, and Central China from 2017 to 2023. The result indicates that the overall coupling coordination of rural revitalization in these parks remains in a state of imbalance, but the general trend is positive. There are obvious regional differences in the coordinated development of the “agriculture, countryside, and farmers” coupling system, with the relative lag of rural development becoming a significant bottleneck hindering coordination. Entrepreneurship incubation capability, innovation agglomeration capability, scientific and technological innovation capability, and digital support capability are the main factors influencing the regional differentiation of coordinated development. Meanwhile, environmental support capability is gradually important driving force. There are non-linear or double-factor enhancement effects among these six capability factors, and rural entrepreneurship based on agricultural technology to increase farmers’ income is currently best way to achieve coordinated rural revitalization.

     

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