数字普惠金融对黄河流域农业全要素生产率的影响及作用机制

The Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Agricultural Total Factor Productivity in the Yellow River Basin and Its Mechanism

  • 摘要: 当前,我国经济已进入高质量发展阶段,在经济发展的同时,资源与环境问题日益凸显。黄河流域作为我国重要的生态安全屏障,面临着污染、生态破坏等严重问题,2024年习近平总书记在主持召开全面推动黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展座谈会中为推进黄河流域的生态环境治理指明了方向,因此推动黄河流域农业全要素生产率发展成为重要议题。基于2015—2023年黄河流域57个地级市的面板数据,采用超效率SBM-GML模型测算农业全要素生产率,并通过双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型等方法实证检验了数字普惠金融对农业全要素生产率的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:(1)从农业全要素生产率的变动趋势来看,2015—2023年间黄河流域整体呈现波浪起伏的演变特征;从区域差异来看,各地级市之间的农业全要素生产率差异逐年缩小,整体水平呈上升态势;(2)普惠金融显著提升了农业全要素生产率;具体来看,其分项指数中的使用深度和数字化程度两个维度均对农业全要素生产率具有显著的正向推动作用;(3)机制检验显示,金融聚集度在数字普惠金融影响农业全要素生产率的过程中发挥显著中介作用;(4)异质性分析结果显示,数字普惠金融的促进作用在该区域的上游和下游较为显著,而在中游地区影响不显著。因此,提出实施差异化发展战略,强化金融聚集效应及加强区域间数字基础设施建设等政策建议。

     

    Abstract: China’ s economy has entered a stage of high-quality development. While remarkable economic achievements have been made, mounting challenges related to resources and the environment have become increasingly prominent. As a critical ecological security barrier for the country, the Yellow River Basin is plagued by severe issues such as pollution and ecological degradation. In 2024, General Secretary Xi Jinping, when presiding over the symposium on comprehensively promoting ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin, charted a clear course for advancing ecological and environmental governance in the region. Against this backdrop, boosting the development of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) in the Yellow River Basin has emerged as a key priority. Based on panel data from 57 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2014 to 2023, this study employs the Super-efficiency SBM-GML model to measure agricultural TFP, and utilizes methods such as the two-way fixed effects model and mediation effect model to empirically examine the impact and underlying mechanisms of digital financial inclusion on agricultural TFP. The findings reveal that: (1) In terms of the changing trend of agricultural TFP, the Yellow River Basin as a whole exhibited an inverted U-shaped pattern from 2015 to 2023. Regarding regional disparities, the differences in agricultural TFP among prefecture-level cities have narrowed year by year, with the overall level showing an upward trend. (2) Digital financial inclusion has significantly enhanced agricultural TFP. Specifically, both the depth of use and the degree of digitalization among its sub-indices contribute positively to agricultural TFP. (3) Mechanism tests indicate that financial agglomeration plays a significant mediating role in the process through which digital financial inclusion influences agricultural TFP. (4) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the promoting effect of digital financial inclusion is more pronounced in the upper and lower reaches of the region, while it is not significant in the middle reaches. Accordingly, this study proposes policy recommendations such as implementing differentiated development strategies, strengthening financial agglomeration effects, and enhancing inter-regional digital infrastructure development.

     

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