财政支农对农业新质生产力的影响及作用机制研究

The Impact of Fiscal Support for Agriculture on the New Quality Productivity of Agriculture and Its Mechanism of Action

  • 摘要: 农业新质生产力的提高是实现农业农村现代化的重要途径。财政支农作为农业新质生产力投资的重要手段,在农业领域担负重任。本文基于2013—2023年中国30个省区市(不含西藏和港澳台地区)的面板数据,通过构建指标体系测算农业新质生产力水平及农业产业融合水平,运用双向固定效应模型和中介效应模型分析财政支农对农业新质生产力的影响效果及作用机制。结果表明:(1)财政支农不仅可以显著促进农业新质生产力发展,还通过提高农业产业融合和降低农业碳排放间接推动农业新质生产力发展;(2)异质性分析发现,相较于其他地区,财政支农对平缓地区、陡峭地区、粮食主销区和财政支农水平低的地区的农业新质生产力具有显著的促进作用。为此,建议通过进一步优化财政支出结构、健全财政支农政策、调整农业生产模式等,为促进农业农村现代化及高质量发展提供决策参考。

     

    Abstract: The improvement of new quality productivity in agriculture is an important way to achieve modernization in rural areas and agriculture. As an important means of investment in new quality productivity in agriculture, fiscal support for agriculture shoulders significant responsibilities in the agricultural sector. Based on the panel data of 30 provincial administrative regions in China (excluding Xizang, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) from 2013 to 2023, this paper measured the level of new quality productivity in agriculture and the level of agricultural industrial integration by constructing an index system, and analyzed the impact and mechanism of fiscal support for agriculture on new quality productivity in agriculture by using the two-way fixed effect model and the mediation effect model. The results showed that: (1) Fiscal support for agriculture could not only significantly promote the development of new quality productivity in agriculture, but also indirectly promoted the development of new quality productivity in agriculture by improving agricultural industrial integration and reducing agricultural carbon emissions. (2) Heterogeneity analysis showed that, compared with other regions, fiscal support for agriculture had a significant promoting effect on new quality productivity in agriculture in flat areas, steep areas, major grain-consuming areas, and regions with low levels of fiscal support for agriculture. Therefore, it is suggested that through further optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditure, improving fiscal support policies for agriculture, and adjusting agricultural production models, etc., decision-making references can be provided for achieving modernization and high-quality development in rural areas and agriculture.

     

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