乡村经济韧性如何驱动农民消费提质升级?基于数字乡村中介效应的实证检验

How Does Rural Economic Resilience Drive the Quality and Upgrading of Farmers’ Consumption:An Empirical Examination Based on the Mediating Effect of Digital Villages

  • 摘要: 在乡村振兴与共同富裕战略推进、数字经济向乡村深度渗透的背景下,探讨以数字乡村建设为中介的乡村经济韧性对农民消费提质升级作用机制与效应研究,对激活乡村内需、促进农民消费升级具有重要意义。本文基于2013—2022年30个省级面板数据,采用固定模型、门槛模型及中介效应等实证方法分析了乡村经济韧性对农民消费水平和消费结构的传导路径与内在机理。结果表明,首先,乡村经济韧性与农民消费之间存在显著的非线性正向关联。其次,乡村经济韧性对农民消费结构在机制检验、稳健性检验下仍具有显著正向作用。最后,乡村经济韧性对农民消费提质升级的促进作用存在区域异质性,相比东部地区和中部地区,西部地区乡村经济韧性对农民消费提质升级作用更为显著。据此,应基于乡村经济韧性不同发展阶段精准施策,扩大乡村数字基础设施建设力度,加强西部地区政策兜底,调整中部地区农业产业和产品结构,促进东部地区乡村经济韧性质的发展,进一步推动农民消费提质升级。

     

    Abstract: Against the backdrop of rural revitalization and common prosperity strategies, coupled with the deep penetration of the digital economy into rural areas, this study investigates the mechanism and effects of rural economic resilience, mediated by digital village construction, on the quality upgrading of farmers’ consumption. The research holds significant implications for activating rural domestic demand and promoting the upgrading of farmers’ consumption. Based on panel data from 30 provincial from 2013 to 2022, this paper employs empirical methods such as fixed-effects models, threshold models, and mediation effects to analyze the transmission pathways and intrinsic mechanisms of rural economic resilience on farmers’ consumption levels and structures. The results indicate, firstly, significant nonlinear positive correlation between rural economic resilience and farmers’ consumption. Secondly, rural economic resilience maintains a significant positive effect on farmers’ consumption structure under both mechanism and robustness tests. Finally, the promotional effect of rural economic resilience on the quality upgrading of farmers’ consumption exhibits regional heterogeneity, with a more pronounced impact in western regions compared to eastern and central regions. Accordingly, it is essential to implement precise policies based on different development stages of rural economic resilience, expand the construction of rural digital infrastructure, strengthen policy support in western regions, adjust agricultural industry and product structures in central regions, and promote the qualitative development of rural economic resilience in eastern regions, thereby further driving the quality upgrading of farmers’ consumption.

     

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