政策对云南边境农户生计韧性的影响及路径分析基于589份问卷数据的实证

Impact and Pathways of Policy Interventions on the Farmer’ s Livelihood Resilience in Yunnan’ s Border Areas: Evidence from 589 Household Surveys

  • 摘要: 为探究政策对边境农户生计韧性的影响及其作用机制,本研究以云南边境地区589户农户的有效调查数据为基础,依托可持续生计分析框架构建涵盖人力资本、自然资本等的6维生计韧性评价体系。采用熵值法确定各维度权重,测算综合韧性指数,并运用结构方程模型(SEM)揭示“兴边富民”政策对农户生计韧性的影响路径。结果表明:(1)研究区生计韧性整体水平不高,指数集中于0~0.35之间,均值为0.2045,最高值为0.6480;(2)政策感知对生计韧性具有显著正向影响(路径系数0.62),参与行为对韧性提升亦具有较强作用(0.53),而参与意识的影响相对有限(0.10);(3)政策作用机制主要体现为通过提高农户政策感知水平与行为参与程度形成联动效应,从而增强生计韧性。基于上述结果,从生计资本结构优化、政策支持体系完善以及农户主体能动性激发三个方面的对策建议,为促进边境地区乡村韧性发展、推动“兴边富民”战略落地实施提供理论支撑与实践参考。

     

    Abstract: to examine the impact of policy on the livelihood resilience of border-area farmers and to uncover the underlying mechanisms, this study draws on valid survey data from 589 households in Yunnan’ s border regions. Based on the sustainable livelihood analysis framework, we construct a six-dimensional livelihood resilience evaluation system encompassing human capital, natural capital, physical capital, financial capital, social capital, and psychological capital. The entropy weighting method is employed to determine the relative importance of each dimension and calculate a composite resilience index, while a structural equation model (SEM) is applied to reveal the pathways through which the “Prosperity for Border Areas” policy influences farmers’ livelihood resilience. The results show that: (1) the overall level of livelihood resilience is low, with most indices ranging between 0–0.35, an average value of 0.2045, and a maximum of 0.6480; (2) policy perception exerts a significant positive effect on livelihood resilience (path coefficient = 0.62), and participatory behavior also plays a substantial role (0.53), whereas participatory awareness has a relatively limited impact (0.10); (3) the policy mechanism primarily operates through a synergistic effect generated by enhancing farmers’ policy perception and their level of behavioral participation, thereby strengthening livelihood resilience. Based on these findings, targeted strategies are proposed in three areas—optimizing livelihood capital structures, improving policy support systems, and stimulating farmers’ agency—to promote resilient rural development in border areas and provide theoretical and practical guidance for the effective implementation of the “Prosperity for Border Areas” strategy.

     

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