云南省数字经济对农业高质量发展的影响研究基于农村物流的门槛效应

Research on the Impact of Digital Economy on Agricultural High-quality Development in Yunnan Province: Based on the Threshold Effect of Rural Logistics

  • 摘要: 本文基于2012—2022年云南省16个州市的面板数据,采用熵值法测算云南省数字经济和农业高质量发展指数,并通过固定效应模型与门槛效应模型探究数字经济对农业高质量发展的驱动作用。研究结果表明,云南省数字经济发展势头强劲,农业高质量发展水平波动上升;数字经济可显著促进农业高质量发展,但由于受到农村物流水平单一门槛效应影响,其促进作用在跨越门槛值后呈现边际递增。对此提出应实施区域差异化发展策略、强化数字新基建和农村物流体系建设、加强农业科技创新与应用等建议,为云南省因地制宜发展农业新质生产力提供实证支撑和政策参考。

     

    Abstract: Based on the panel data of the 16 prefectures/municipalities in Yunnan Province, this paper used the entropy method to measure digital economy development and high-quality agricultural development indices, and analyzed the driving effect of digital economy on agricultural quality enhancement. The results showed that, Yunnan’ s digital economy demonstrated robust growth momentum during the study period, while agricultural quality development exhibited a fluctuating upward trajectory. The digital economy could significantly promote agricultural quality advancement, but due to the single threshold effect of logistics, its promoting effect showed marginal increase after crossing the threshold. Accordingly, policy recommendations emphasize implementing regionally differentiated development strategies, strengthening digital infrastructure and rural logistics systems, and enhancing the innovation and application of agricultural science and technology, with the aim of providing empirical support and policy references for Yunnan Province to develop new agricultural productive forces in accordance with local conditions.

     

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