东亚农业模式下耕地“非粮化”问题:演进、成因及对策

The “Non-Grainization” Problem of Farmland under East Asian Agricultural Mode: Evolution, Causes and Countermeasures

  • 摘要: 粮食安全是经济社会持续稳定发展的“压舱石”。与欧美先发国家相比,东亚国家耕地资源稀缺,粮食自给率不占优势,仅依靠提高粮食单产实现粮食稳产增产难度较大。在全球粮食供应风险上升的背景下,遏制耕地“非粮化”问题成为其必然选择。纵观东亚代表性国家种植结构调整趋势,日本和韩国由于长期实施大米限产保价政策,耕地“非粮化”问题愈演愈烈,中国则通过结合行政约束和激励约束,实现了由“非粮化”向“趋粮化”的结构性转变。需注意的是,东亚农业模式下“非粮化”问题存在一系列内在驱动因素,包括劳动力非农转移改变农户种植偏好、地权稳定性改善产生投资激励效应、耕地流转“内卷化”阻碍规模效益提升。为稳妥处置该问题,应健全农户种粮收益保障机制,使稳定粮食播种面积的政策目标顺利转化为农户的自觉行动。

     

    Abstract: Food security is the “ballast stone” for sustained and stable economic and social development. Compared with the developed countries in Europe and America, the farmland resources in East Asian countries are scarce, and the grain self-sufficiency rate is not dominant, so it is difficult to achieve stable and increased grain production only by increasing grain yield per unit area. Under the background of rising global food supply risk, it is an inevitable choice for East Asian countries to curb the “non-grainization” problem of farmland. Looking at the adjustment trend of planting structure in representative countries in East Asia, the “non-grainization” problem of farmland has become more and more serious in Japan and South Korea due to the long-term implementation of rice production restriction and price protection policy, while China has realized the structural transformation from “non-grainization” to “grainization” by combining administrative constraints and incentives. It should be noted that there are a series of internal driving factors for the “non-grainization” problem of farmland under East Asian agricultural mode, including the change of farmers’ planting preference caused by the non-agricultural transfer of labor force, the investment incentive effect caused by the improvement of land ownership stability, and the “involution” of farmland circulation that hinders the improvement of scale benefits. To handle this problem properly, it is necessary to improve the guarantee mechanism of farmers’ income from grain production, so that the policy goal of stabilizing grain planting area can be smoothly transformed into farmers’ voluntary actions.

     

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