西南地区耕地利用功能转型对粮食安全的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Farmland Utilization Function Transformation on Food Security in Southwest China

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2022年西南地区4省(市)面板数据,实证研究西南地区耕地利用功能转型对粮食安全水平的影响,并借助门槛效应模型进一步研究在“非粮化”背景下耕地利用功能转型对粮食安全影响的门槛效应。研究发现:(1)西南地区粮食安全水平朝着稳中向好的趋势发展,耕地利用功能转型前期呈波动下降态势,后期稳步上升,其中国民经济贡献功能的快速发展对耕地利用功能转型起到了核心推动作用;(2)西南地区耕地利用功能转型显著提升粮食安全水平,并存在门槛效应,当“非粮化”水平达到一定值后其促进作用减弱;(3)异质性结果表明,在云南与四川地区及财政支农力度较大的区域,耕地利用功能转型促进作用也更为显著。为此,实施区域差异化政策,重视耕地国民经济贡献功能,健全农业支持保护体系,耕地利用功能转型的过程中警惕“非粮化”成为保障粮食安全的阻碍。

     

    Abstract: Based on panel data from four provinces (cities) in Southwest China from 2013 to 2022, this study empirically investigated the impact of the transformation of farmland utilization function on food security level in Southwest China, and further explored the threshold effect of farmland utilization function transformation on food security under the background of “Non-grain cropland” using a threshold effect model. Research results showed that: (1) The level of food security in the Southwest region was evolving towards a stable and positive trend, with a fluctuating decline in the early stage of the transformation of farmland use function, and a steady increase in the later stage. The rapid development of the national economic contribution function had played a core driving role in the transformation of farmland utilization function. (2) The functional transformation of farmland utilization in the southwest region significantly improved the level of food security, and there was a threshold effect. When the level of “Non-grain cropland” reached a certain value, its promoting effect was weaken. (3) The results of heterogeneity showed that in Yunnan and Sichuan regions, as well as areas with significant financial support for agriculture, the promotion effect of the transformation of farmland utilization function was also more prominent. Therefore, it is essential to implement differentiated regional policies, prioritize the economic contribution of cultivated land to the national economy, improve the agricultural support and protection system, and remain vigilant against the risk of “Non-grain cropland” during the process of the transformation of farmland utilization function, so as to prevent it from undermining food security.

     

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