基于政府、供水企业与农户三方演化博弈的高原湖泊区农业水价机制优化研究以云南澄江市为例

Research on the Optimization of Agricultural Water Pricing Mechanism in Alpine Lake Areas Based on the Evolutionary Game among the Government, Water Supply Enterprises and Farmers: Taking Chengjiang City in Yunnan Province as an Example

  • 摘要: 为提升高原湖泊区农业节水效率,推动水价机制优化,以云南省澄江市为例,构建了政府、供水企业与农户的三方演化博弈模型,分析各主体在补贴、惩罚与水价调整等政策工具作用下的行为演化路径,并利用Matlab对系统的稳定策略进行数值仿真。结果表明:多政策联动有助于推动节水策略形成稳定均衡;农户对水价变化较为敏感,提高传统灌溉水价比降低节水灌溉成本更能有效促使其选择节水行为;供水企业则更多受到长期收益的驱动,补贴政策影响相对有限;政府监管与激励之间存在替代效应,单一依赖补贴易导致监管缺位。

     

    Abstract: To enhance the water-saving efficiency in the agricultural sector of plateau lake areas and promote the optimization of water pricing mechanisms, taking Chengjiang City in Yunnan Province as an example, a tripartite evolutionary game model involving the government, water supply enterprises, and farmers was constructed. The behavioral evolution paths of each subject under the influence of policy tools such as subsidies, penalties, and water price adjustments were analyzed, and the stable strategies of the system were numerically simulated using Matlab. The results show that the coordinated use of multiple policies is conducive to the formation of a stable equilibrium in water-saving strategies; farmers are highly sensitive to water price changes, and increasing the water price for traditional irrigation is more effective in promoting their adoption of water-saving behaviors than reducing the cost of water-saving irrigation; water supply enterprises are more driven by long-term benefits, and the impact of subsidy policies is relatively limited; there is a substitution effect between government supervision and incentives, and relying solely on subsidies may lead to a lack of supervision.

     

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