提升还是抑制:农业保险对农业绿色全要素生产率的影响及其作用机制研究

Facilitator or Inhibitor:The Impact of Agricultural Insurance on Agricultural Green Total Factor Productivity and Its Mechanisms

  • 摘要: 在农业现代化进程中,绿色发展理念逐渐成为主流,提升农业绿色全要素生产率成为关键议题。文章基于SBM-GML指数,对2013—2022年中国农业绿色全要素生产率水平进行测度,并通过双向固定效应模型与中介效应模型,系统地探究农业保险对农业绿色全要素生产率产生的影响及其内在作用机理。结果表明:(1)农业保险不仅能直接促进农业绿色全要素生产率的增长,还能通过促进农业技术创新间接促进其增长,中介效应占总效应的比率为15.59%;(2)工业化和城镇化水平的推进显著促进了农业绿色全要素生产率的提升;(3)西部地区农业保险能显著促进农业绿色全要素生产率的提升,但在中、东部地区则没有显著影响。对此提出应大幅提高农业保险水平,持续推进农业技术创新,促进各区域协调发展绿色农业等建议,为实现乡村振兴提供有力支撑。

     

    Abstract: With the advancement of agricultural modernization, the concept of green development has become mainstream, making the improvement of agricultural green total factor productivity (AGTFP) a pivotal challenge. Academic debate persists regarding the mechanisms through which agricultural insurance affects AGTFP. Based on the SBM-GML index, this study measured the level of GTFP in China’ s agriculture from 2013 to 2022. Using two-way fixed effects and mediating effect models, it systematically examined the impact of agricultural insurance on AGTFP and investigated the underlying mechanisms. The results indicated: (1) Agricultural insurance not only directly stimulated the growth of AGTFP but also indirectly boosted it by promoting agricultural technological innovation, with the mediating effect accounting for 15.59% of the total effect. (2) The advancement of industrialization and urbanization significantly enhanced AGTFP. (3) Agricultural insurance exerted a statistically significant positive impact on AGTFP in western China, whereas no statistically significant effect was observed in the central and eastern regions. In response to this situation, this paper proposed recommendations such as further improving the agricultural insurance system, continuously advancing agricultural technological innovation, and promoting coordinated regional development of green agriculture, thereby providing robust support for achieving rural revitalization.

     

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