数字普惠金融对粮食主产区粮食生产韧性的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on the Resilience of Grain Production in Major Grain-producing Areas

  • 摘要: 保障国家粮食安全是 “国之大者”,提升粮食生产韧性是筑牢粮食安全屏障的关键环节。而数字普惠金融作为金融服务创新的重要形态,能否通过技术渗透与资源配置优化增强粮食生产韧性,筑牢粮食安全基础是实现农业现代化与乡村振兴的重要议题。本文基于2011—2023年粮食主产区面板数据,运用熵值-TOPSIS法测度粮食生产韧性水平,并采用固定效应、中介效应及门槛效应探究数字普惠金融对粮食生产韧性的作用机制。结果表明:(1)数字普惠金融指数及其三个子维度均显著提升粮食生产韧性,其中覆盖广度的促进效果最为突出,使用深度的作用效果次之,数字化程度的影响相对较弱;(2)农业技术创新是数字普惠金融影响粮食生产韧性的重要传导渠道,在两者间发挥部分中介作用;(3)城镇化水平在数字普惠金融影响粮食生产韧性过程中存在门槛效应,随着城镇化水平提高,数字普惠金融的作用呈现“倒U形”特征。因此,进一步加大数字普惠金融的推广力度、促进农业技术创新及协调城镇化发展,对增强粮食生产韧性、保障国家粮食安全具有重要现实意义。

     

    Abstract: Ensuring national food security is a matter of paramount importance for the country. Enhancing the resilience of grain production is a key link in building a solid food security barrier. Digital inclusive finance, as an important form of financial service innovation, whether it can play a role in strengthening the resilience of grain production through technological penetration and optimization of resource allocation, and consolidating the foundation of food security is a crucial issue in realizing agricultural modernization and rural revitalization. Based on the panel data of major grain-producing areas from 2011 to 2023, this paper measured the level of grain production resilience using the entropy-TOPSIS method and explored the mechanism of the impact of digital inclusive finance on grain production resilience through fixed effects, mediating effects, and threshold effects. The results showed that: (1) The digital inclusive finance index and its three sub-dimensions all significantly enhanced the resilience of grain production, among which the promotion effect of coverage breadth was the most prominent, followed by the effect of usage depth, and the impact of digitalization degree is relatively weak; (2) Agricultural technological innovation was an important transmission channel for the impact of digital inclusive finance on the resilience of grain production, playing a partial mediating role between the two; (3) There was a threshold effect of the urbanization level in the process of digital inclusive finance affecting the resilience of grain production. As the urbanization level increases, the effect of digital inclusive finance showed an inverted U-shaped feature. Therefore, further promoting the development of digital inclusive finance, promoting agricultural technological innovation, and coordinating urbanization development were of great practical significance for enhancing the resilience of grain production and ensuring national food security.

     

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