撤县设区对农村消费不平等的影响

The Impact of County-to-district Conversion on Rural Consumption Inequality

  • 摘要: 以撤县设区为主要形式的就地城市化是否缓解了农村居民的消费不平等?为探究这一问题,本文先从理论层面分析撤县设区对农村消费不平等的影响机制,然后通过整合县域宏观统计数据与中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)微观数据,构建由281个县(区、市)宏观数据和25744个农户微观调查数据组合成的四期非平衡面板数据库;最后利用多期双重差分模型,实证分析撤县设区对农村消费不平等的影响。研究发现撤县设区对于缓解农村居民消费不平等问题存在积极作用。撤县设区通过收入效应和同群效应的双重机制,有效缩小了农村居民之间的消费差距。异质性分析发现,撤县设区对于缓解户主教育水平较低家庭、中西部地区中农村家庭的消费不平等具有更为显著的效果。基于以上结论,提出相关政策建议:一是优化撤县设区政策,二是强化收入效应政策支持,三是积极引导同群效应,四是制定差异化政策。

     

    Abstract: Does in-situ urbanization, primarily in the form of county-to-district restructuring, alleviate consumption inequality among rural residents? To explore this issue, this paper first analyzed the impact mechanism of withdrawing counties and setting up districts on rural consumption inequality from the theoretical level, and then constructed a four-period unbalanced panel database consisting of a combination of 281 districts and counties (county-level cities) macro data and 25,744 farm households micro survey data by integrating county macro statistics and China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) micro data. Finally, a multi-period double-difference model was used to empirically analyze the impact of county-to-district restructuring on rural consumption inequality. The study found that, the county-to-district restructuring had a positive effect on alleviating the problem of inequality in consumption among rural residents. Specifically, the policy effectively narrowed the consumption gap among rural residents through dual mechanisms: the income effect and the peer effect. Heterogeneity analysis indicated that, county-to-district restructuring had a more pronounced effect on alleviating consumption inequality in households with less-educated heads and in rural families located in central and western regions. Based on the research findings, the following policy recommendations were proposed: First, further refine the county-to-district conversion policy to enhance its effectiveness. Second, strengthen targeted policy support to amplify income growth effects for rural residents. Third, actively guide and leverage positive peer group effects within rural communities. Fourth, develop and implement regionally differentiated policies tailored to local conditions.

     

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