双重环境规制对新质生产力的影响研究来自省级面板数据的证据

Research on the Impact of Dual Environmental Regulation on New Quality Productivity: Evidence from Provincial Panel Data

  • 摘要: 在“双碳”目标与发展新质生产力战略要求下,探究双重环境规制影响新质生产力的发展路径对推动经济高质量发展、实现绿色低碳转型具有重要意义。基于中国30个省区市的面板数据,构建双重环境规制与新质生产力的测算指标体系,采用熵值法测量权重。综合运用基准模型、调节模型和门槛模型实证分析双重环境规制对新质生产力的影响程度及机制过程。研究发现:短期内,生产者面临正式环境规制的合规压力时会降低创新性,产生“挤出效应”,从而减缓对新质生产力的推动作用;研发经费强度显著调节了二者的相互作用关系;环境规制对新质生产力的积极影响,随着正式环境规制的提升也不断增加;异质性分析表明,正式与非正式环境规制在不同地区的影响不同。

     

    Abstract: Under the strategic requirements of the “dual carbon” goals and the development of new quality productivity, it is of great significance to explore the development path of dual environmental regulation affecting new quality productivity to promote high-quality economic development and realize green and low-carbon transformation. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in China, the measurement index system of dual environmental regulation and new quality productivity was constructed, and the entropy method was used to measure the indices’ s weights. The benchmark model, the regulation model and the threshold model are used to empirically analyze the impact of dual environmental regulation on the new quality productivity and the mechanism process. The results show that in the short term, when producers face the compliance pressure of formal environmental regulations, they will reduce their innovation and produce a “crowding out effect” , thereby slowing down the promotion of new quality productivity. The intensity of R&D expenditure significantly moderated the interaction between the two. The positive impact of environmental regulation on new productivity is increasing with the increase of R&D expenditure intensity. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of formal and informal environmental regulation was different in different regions.

     

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