云南省农食系统碳排放的测算及影响因素研究

Measurement and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions from Agricultural and Food Systems in Yunnan Province

  • 摘要: 本文从农业产业系统视角,采用排放系数法,对2013—2022年云南省农食系统碳排放量、碳汇量、净碳排放效应进行测算,并运用对数平均迪氏指数法LMDI对农食系统碳排放的影响因素进行分解。研究结果表明: (1)云南省农食系统碳排放量和净碳排放效应总体上呈现波动下降,碳汇量呈现平稳上升趋势,其中,畜牧业碳排放量比重(62.76%)最大,是影响农食系统碳排放量的主要产业,种植业和食品业分别占比22.42%和14.82%。(2)影响因素分析显示,生产效率、产业结构、能源消费强度、劳动人口规模对农食系统碳排放的贡献值为负值,其中能源消费强度抑制碳排放的贡献值为47.32%,而能源经济效益、财政投入、经济水平表现为可促进农食系统碳排放。云南省应减少畜牧业碳排放,鼓励作物种植多样化和发展低碳食品加工,减少传统煤使用量,提高能源利用率,加强财政投入和能源消费强度的关联度,进一步发展清洁能源技术,实现农食系统降碳增效。

     

    Abstract: This study estimated the carbon emission, carbon sink and net carbon emission effect of the agri-food system from an industrial perspective in Yunnan Province from 2013 to 2022 using emission factor method. Then investigated the influencing factors of carbon emission in the agri-food system using Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model for decomposition analyses. The results indicated: (1) The carbon emission and net carbon emission effect fluctuated and decreased while the carbon sink increased steadily, in which the carbon emission from animal husbandry (61.87%) had the largest proportion and is the main industry affecting the carbon emission of the agri-food system. The carbon emission of plantation industry and food industry account for 22.42% and 14.82%, respectively. (2) The decomposition analyses of influencing factors showed that, the contribution of production efficiency, industrial structure, energy consumption intensity, and labour population size to the carbon emission of agri-food system was negative, in which the contribution of energy consumption intensity to inhibit the carbon emission was 47.32%. In contrast, energy economic efficiency, financial input, and economic level were shown to be able to promote the carbon emission of the agri-food system. Yunnan Province should reduce carbon emissions from animal husbandry, encourage the diversification of crop cultivation and develop low-carbon food processing, reduce the use of traditional coal, improve energy efficiency, strengthen the correlation between financial investment and energy consumption intensity, further develop clean energy technology, and achieve carbon reduction and efficiency increase in agricultural food system.

     

/

返回文章
返回