基于熵权TOPSIS模型的贵州省特色农业发展水平评价及障碍度研究

Evaluation of Guizhou Province’ s Specialty Agriculture Development Level and Obstacle Degree Study Based on Entropy Weight TOPSIS Model

  • 摘要: 鼓励各地因地制宜发展特色农业,是确保国家粮食安全的重要工作之一。本文基于2013—2022年贵州省9个市州的面板数据,从产业规模、产品质量、技术创新、经济效益、生态环境五个维度构建贵州省特色农业发展水平评价指标体系,采用熵权TOPSIS法评价贵州省特色农业发展水平,并且利用障碍度模型分析阻碍特色农业发展的主要因素。结果表明:(1)贵州省特色农业发展水平综合评价指数整体呈现上升趋势;(2)遵义市和毕节市各维度指标发展情况较为突出,贵州省南部市州各维度指标发展水平较为滞后,说明各市州之间特色农业发展水平和速度差异较大;(3)通过障碍度模型分析发现,制约贵州省特色农业发展的主要障碍因素在时间序列上存在明显变化;(4)各准则层指标对贵州省各市州特色农业发展水平的阻碍程度变化各异。为推动贵州省特色农业发展补短板、强弱项工作,需要促进各市州特色农业全面均衡发展,加强产业化联合体建设,加快农业产业结构优化,实现特色农业产业高质量发展。

     

    Abstract: Promoting the development of characteristic agriculture in accordance with local conditions is one of the important tasks to ensure national food security. Based on panel data from 2013 to 2022 for the nine prefecture-level cities and autonomous prefectures in Guizhou Province, this study constructed an evaluation index system for the development level of characteristic agriculture in Guizhou from five dimensions: industry scale, product quality, technological innovation, economic benefits, and ecological environment. The entropy weight TOPSIS method was used to evaluate the level of development of characteristic agriculture in Guizhou, and the obstacle degree model was utilized to analyze the main factors hindering the development of characteristic agriculture. The results showed that, (1) The overall composite index of characteristic agriculture development in Guizhou Province exhibited an upward trend; (2) Zunyi City and Bijie City standed out in the development of various dimensional indicators, while the southern prefecture-level cities of Guizhou Province lagged behind in the development level of each dimension, indicating significant disparities in the level and speed of characteristic agriculture development among prefecture-level cities; (3) Through the obstacle degree model, it was found that, the primary obstructive factors limiting the development of characteristic agriculture in Guizhou Province had undergone noticeable changes over time; (4) The hindrance extent of each criterion layer indicator to the development level of characteristic agriculture varied across the cities and prefectures of Guizhou Province. To promote the work of addressing weaknesses and strengthening deficiencies in the development of characteristic agriculture in Guizhou Province, it was necessary to facilitate comprehensive and balanced development across all cities and prefectures, enhance the construction of industrial consortia, accelerate the optimization of the agricultural industrial structure, and achieve high-quality development of characteristic agriculture industries.

     

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