长三角地区农业保险与农业现代化耦合协调研究

Study on Coupling Coordination between Agricultural Insurance and Agricultural Modernization in Yangtze River Delta Region

  • 摘要: 基于2010—2022年长三角地区41个城市的相关数据,本文构建了农业保险和农业现代化综合发展水平评价指标体系,从理论上探究了农业保险和农业现代化的耦合协调机理;在此基础上利用熵值法、耦合协调测度以及Tobit面板模型,分析了长三角地区农业保险和农业现代化发展特征,探讨了其协调发展关系。研究结果显示:2010—2022年长三角地区的农业保险与农业现代化耦合协调度呈现波动增长趋势,上海及部分城市的耦合协调度高于区域平均水平,而安徽省则相对落后;两大系统的耦合协调度由轻度失调向勉强协调发展,并呈现出农业现代化发展优于农业保险的发展特征,推动农业保险高质量发展成为长三角地区两大系统协调发展的关键;两大系统的耦合协调发展水平受到地方政府财政支持、科技发展水平和教育水平等多重影响。基于此,政府应当积极推动传统农业的转型升级,明确农业保险的功能定位,完善农业保险与农业现代化之间的良性互动机制,以促进两者的优质协调发展。

     

    Abstract: Based on the relevant data of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2010 to 2022, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of the comprehensive development level of agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization, and theoretically explores the coupling coordination mechanism of agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization. On this basis, the development characteristics of agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization in Yangtze River Delta region were analyzed by using entropy method, coupling coordination measure and Tobit panel model, and the relationship between their coordinated development was discussed. The results show that the coupling coordination degree of agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization in the Yangtze River Delta region shows a fluctuating growth trend from 2010 to 2022. The coupling coordination degree of Shanghai and some cities is higher than the regional average level, while Anhui Province is relatively backward. The coupling and coordination degree of the two systems developed from mild imbalance to barely coordination, and showed that the development of agricultural modernization was superior to the development of agricultural insurance. Promoting the high-quality development of agricultural insurance became the key to the coordinated development of the two systems in the Yangtze River Delta region. The coupling and coordinated development level of the two systems is influenced by the financial support of local governments, the development level of science and technology, and the level of education. Based on this, the government should actively promote the transformation and upgrading of traditional agriculture, clarify the functional positioning of agricultural insurance, and improve the benign interaction mechanism between agricultural insurance and agricultural modernization, so as to promote the high-quality coordinated development of the two.

     

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