农村劳动力转移对土地流转的影响基于CFPS甘肃省样本的实证分析

The Influence of Rural Labor Transfer on Land Circulation:Based on the Empirical Analysis of CFPS Gansu Province Sample

  • 摘要: 土地流转可以实现土地规模化经营、提高农业生产效率,推动现代农业发展。本文从农村劳动力转移的视角出发,基于中国家庭追踪调查数据(CFPS)中四期甘肃省样本数据,运用Probit模型,实证分析农村劳动力转移对土地转出和转入两方面的影响。结果表明:甘肃省农村劳动力转移对土地转出和土地转入均有显著影响;劳动力转移与土地流转之间存在内生性问题,利用转移人口家庭中的最高学历作为工具变量,并采用条件混合过程(CMP)估计法来控制;将农业收入细分为三个层次进行异质性分析,发现农业收入中等的农户在土地流转市场中最活跃。

     

    Abstract: The promulgation of land transfer policy is of great significance for realizing large-scale land management, from the perspective of rural labor transfer, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of rural labor transfer on both land out-transfer and in-transfer based on the four-phase sample data of Gansu Province from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), using the Probit model. The results indicate that rural labor transfer in Gansu Province has a significant impact on land transfer, with a positive effect on land out-transfer and a negative effect on land in-transfer. There is an endogenous problem between labor transfer and land transfer. Taking the highest family education in the transferred population as the instrumental variable, CMP estimation method is used to control the endogeneity, and the CMP estimation result is significant. The agricultural income level is divided into three stages for heterogeneity analysis, and it is found that farmers with middle agricultural income are the most active in the land transfer market.

     

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