新质生产力与城乡均衡发展:耦合协调、区域差异与动态演进

New Productive Forces and Urban-rural Balanced Development: Coupling Coordination, Regional Differences and Dynamic Evolution

  • 摘要: 新质生产力作为高科技、高效能、高质量的生产力,对我国经济转型升级与区域协调发展至关重要。基于2013—2022年中国31个省域的面板数据,构建了新质生产力与城乡均衡发展的综合评价指标体系,采用熵权法测算了两者的发展指数,并通过耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数与Kernel密度函数,对二者耦合协调的程度及其地区差异与空间演化规律进行了深度分析。结果表明:新质生产力和城乡均衡发展水平普遍上升,但整体水平不高,区域差异显著,东部地区发展较快。两者之间的耦合协调度稳步增长,从低度协调发展到中度,再到高度协调。地域上,东部领先,中部居中,西部滞后。新质生产力与城乡均衡发展水平的耦合协调度地区差异逐渐增大,主要由区域内和区域间差异引起。

     

    Abstract: As a high-tech, high-efficiency and high-quality productive force, new-quality productive force is crucial for China’ s economic transformation and upgrading and regional coordinated development. Based on the panel data of 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2013 to 2022, a comprehensive evaluation index system of new-quality productive force and urban-rural balanced development was constructed. The development indexes of the two were calculated by using the entropy method. Through the coupling coordination degree model, Dagum Gini coefficient and Kernel density function, the degree of coupling coordination between the two and their regional differences and spatial evolution laws were deeply analyzed. The results show that the development level of new-quality productive force and urban-rural balanced development generally rises, but the overall level is not high, and the regional differences are significant. The eastern region develops faster. The coupling coordination degree between the two grows steadily, from low-level coordination to medium-level and then to high-level coordination. Geographically, the eastern region leads, the central region is in the middle, and the western region lags behind. The regional differences in the coupling coordination degree between new-quality productive force and urban-rural balanced development gradually increase, mainly caused by intra-regional and inter-regional differences.

     

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