农村数字经济对农业碳排放的影响机制以农村产业融合发展为中介效应的实证研究

The Influence Mechanism of Rural Digital Economy on Agricultural Carbon Emissions:An Empirical Study with Rural Industrial Integration as the Mediation Effect

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2022年省级面板数据,本文采用双向固定效应模型和中介效应模型分析农村数字经济对农业碳排放的影响及机制作用。研究表明:(1)农村数字经济能够显著减少农业碳排放,对这一结果进行多种稳健性检验依然成立;(2)农村产业融合发展在农村数字经济与农业碳排放间起中介作用;(3)异质性分析表明,农村数字经济在非粮食主产区和低财政支农区域对农业碳排放的影响更为显著。基于此,提出促进农村数字经济发展、加快农村产业融合发展等对策建议。

     

    Abstract: Based on provincial panel data from 2013 to 2022, this study analyzed the impact and mechanism of rural digital economy on agricultural carbon emissions using a two-way fixed effects model and a mediation effect model. The research findings indicate that: (1) Rural digital economy can significantly reduced agricultural carbon emissions, and this result remained robust after various robustness checks; (2) Rural industrial integration played a mediating role between rural digital economy and agricultural carbon emissions; (3) Heterogeneity analysis showed that, the impact of rural digital economy on agricultural carbon emissions was more significant in non-grain-producing regions and areas with low fiscal support for agriculture. Based on these findings, suggestions were proposed to promote the development of rural digital economy and accelerate the integration of rural industries.

     

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