淮河流域土地资源承载力及其时空分异格局研究

Research on the Carrying Capacity of Land Resources in Huaihe River Basin and Its Spatial and Temporal Differentiation Pattern

  • 摘要: 淮河流域作为我国粮食生产大区之一,其土地资源利用效率和方式直接关系到区域农业与城镇经济的发展,因此对淮河流域土地资源承载力及其影响因素进行研究具有十分重要的理论价值与现实意义。本文从承载强度、承载效益和承载潜力三个维度构建了综合评价指标体系,基于熵权TOPSIS模型和空间自相关模型,测算2006—2021年淮河流域35个地级市土地资源承载力水平,实证分析其土地资源承载力的时空分异特征。结果表明,研究期间内,淮河流域各地级市的土地资源承载力水平表现为上升的趋势,呈现东部高、西部低的空间分布格局,且在整体呈现正向空间自相关,在局部上呈现“小集聚、大离散”的空间分异格局。

     

    Abstract: As one of the major food production areas in China, the efficiency and mode of land resource utilization in Huaihe River Basin is directly related to the development of regional agriculture and urban economy, so the research on the carrying capacity of land resources in Huaihe River Basin and its influencing factors has very important theoretical value and practical significance. In this paper, a comprehensive evaluation index system was constructed from the three dimensions of carrying strength, carrying efficiency and carrying potential, and based on the entropy weight TOPSIS model and the spatial autocorrelation model, the land resource carrying capacity levels of 35 prefectural-level cities in the Huaihe River Basin were measured in 2006—2021, and the spatial and temporal variations of the land resource carrying capacity were analyzed empirically. The results showed that, during the study period, the carrying capacity of land resources in all prefectural-level cities in the Huaihe River Basin showed an upward trend, with a high spatial distribution pattern in the east and a low spatial distribution pattern in the west, a positive spatial autocorrelation in the whole, and a spatial differentiation pattern of “small agglomeration and large dispersion” in the local area.

     

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