非农就业对农村居民消费升级的影响基于社会资本的中介效应检验

The Influence of Off-farming Employment on the Consumption Upgradation of Rural Residents: Based on the Social-capital’ s Mediating Effect Test

  • 摘要: 基于2022年安徽省五县473户农户调查数据,利用联立方程模型对不同层次的非农就业比例、社会资本与农村居民消费升级的关系进行实证分析。结果表明:(1)在控制其他条件不变的情况下,非农就业比例每增加1%,农村居民消费升级平均提升7%;(2)社会资本在非农就业比例与农村居民消费升级间起中介作用;(3)非农就业比例分位点位于(0.2, 0.7)时,非农就业比例对农村居民消费升级的直接效应及社会资本的中介效应变得更加明显。基于此,从增加非农就业培训和教育的机会,强化社会资本的建设和利用,促进农村与城市的经济和社会融合三个方面提出了对策建议,以期为农村居民消费升级注入活力。

     

    Abstract: Based on the survey data of 473 rural households in five counties of Anhui Province in 2022, this paper used the simultaneous equation model to empirically analyze the relationship between the off-farming employment ratio, social capital and rural residents’ consumption upgrading at different levels. The results showed that: (1) With other conditions unchanged, when the off-farming employment ratio increased by 1%, the consumption upgrading of rural residents increased by 7% on average; (2) Social capital played an intermediary role between the off-farming employment ratio and the upgrading of rural residents’ consumption; (3) When the quantile of off-farming employment ratio was at (0.2, 0.7), the direct effect of off-farming employment ratio on the consumption upgrading of rural residents and the intermediary effect of social capital became more obvious. Based on this, countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from three aspects: increasing off-farming employment training and education opportunities, strengthening the construction and utilization of social capital, and promoting the economic and social integration between rural and urban areas, so as to inject vitality into the consumption upgrading of rural residents.

     

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