农业绿色全要素生产率对城乡收入差距的影响基于劳动力转移中介效应视角

The Impact of Green Total Factor Productivity in Agriculture on the Rural-urban Income Gap:Based on A Labor Transfer Perspective

  • 摘要: 基于2011—2021年省际面板数据,实证研究农业绿色全要素生产率(AGTFP)对城乡收入差距的影响,并借助中介效应模型考察劳动力转移在此过程中的中介作用。研究发现:(1)AGTFP对城乡收入差距产生先缩小后扩大的“U”形影响,其“U”形拐点值为0.786,且该影响效应逐渐减弱。异质性分析发现AGTFP对城乡收入差距的影响效应在东部不显著,而在中部、西部和东北部具有明显的“U”形影响特征,且该特征效应表现为“西部>中部>东北部”。(2)劳动力转移能够抑制城乡收入差距扩大,而AGTFP对劳动力转移具有先促进后抑制的倒“U”形影响。此外,财政支出水平、经济发展水平、社会保障支出与科技投入可能导致城乡收入差距扩大,而城镇化水平具有收敛作用。(3)AGTFP可通过劳动力转移对城乡收入差距产生先缩小后扩大的“U”形影响。为此,加强绿色科技研发、优化农业要素配置与城乡劳动力转移结构,并制定差异化农业绿色发展政策,以缩小城乡收入差距,切实有效推进共同富裕进程。

     

    Abstract: Based on the inter-provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021, this paper empirically studied the impact of agricultural green total factor productivity (AGTFP) on the urban-rural income gap, and examined the intermediary role of labor transfer in this process with the help of the mediation effect model. The results showed that: (1) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the impact of AGTFP on urban-rural income gap was not significant in the eastern region, where as it exhibited a significant “U-shaped” effect in the central, western, and northeastern regions, with the characteristic effect pattern being “western > central > northeastern” . (2) Labor migration could inhibit the widening of the urban-rural income gap, while AGTFP had an inverted “U” shaped impact on labor migration, which was first promoted and then inhibited. Additionally, levels of fiscal expenditure, economic development, social security expenditure, and technological investment might lead to the widening of the urban-rural income gap, while the level of urbanization had a converging effect. (3) AGTFP could have a “U” shaped impact on the urban-rural income gap through labor migration, which first narrowed and then widened. To achieve this, It was crucial to enhance research and development in green technology, optimize the allocation of agricultural resources and the structure of urban-rural labor mobility, and formulate differentiated policies for green agricultural development in order to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas and effectively promote the process of common prosperity.

     

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