乡村振兴内部系统协同发展及动态演进研究基于PVAR模型与Kernel密度估计方法

Study on Synergistic Development and Dynamic Evolution of Internal Systems in Rural Revitalization: Based on PVAR Model and Kernel Density Estimation Method

  • 摘要: 本文运用熵值法、描述统计法、PVAR模型、Kernel密度估计等方法,采用2000—2022年我国各地级市数据,系统测算了乡村振兴内部系统协同发展水平与动态演进过程。研究表明,乡村振兴各子系统间的协调发展共同促进了乡村振兴战略的有效实施。乡村振兴综合发展水平呈多极化、多峰状且右拖尾现象,但各子系统发展水平均与乡村振兴综合发展水平的动态演进过程基本保持一致,表明我国乡村振兴水平及其子系统发展水平虽存在一定差异,但乡村振兴各个子系统间均能够协调发展,共同促进乡村振兴战略的有效实施。

     

    Abstract: Using entropy method, descriptive statistics, PVAR model, Kernel density estimation and other methods, this paper systematically measured the level of synergistic development and dynamic evolution process of the internal systems of rural revitalization by using the data of China’ s localities and municipalities in the period of 2000—2022. The study showed that, the coordinated development among the subsystems of rural revitalization jointly promoted the effective implementation of the rural revitalization strategy. The comprehensive development level of rural revitalization was multi-polarized, multi-peaked and trailing right, but the development level of each subsystem was basically consistent with the dynamic evolution of the comprehensive development level of rural revitalization, indicating that although there were some differences in the level of rural revitalization and the development level of its sub-systems in China, the various sub-systems of rural revitalization were able to develop in coordination and promote the effective implementation of the strategy of rural revitalization together.

     

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