健康冲击对中老年农户生计策略变迁的影响来自CHARLS面板数据的证据

The Impact of Health Shocks on Changes in Livelihood Strategies of Middle-aged and Elderly Farmers: Evidence from CHARLS Panel Data

  • 摘要: 基于可持续生计分析框架,使用CHARLS数据及多期双重差分方法分析健康冲击对中老年农户生计策略选择的影响与作用机制。研究发现:当中老年农户遭受健康冲击后,其更倾向选择农业型生计策略,而非农业兼业型及非农型生计策略;异质性分析得出,健康冲击更为显著地促进男性农户选择农业型生计策略,而非农业兼业型。而健康冲击则抑制女性农户从事非农生计活动,并且健康冲击对低学历农户影响更为显著,导致其更倾向选择农业型生计策略,而放弃从事农业兼业型及非农型生计活动;机制检验证明,中老年农户生计资本水平越低,其生计策略选择越易因健康冲击发生变化。据此,提出政府应加大健康扶贫力度等建议,为推动中老年农户生计策略多样化发展提供理论参考。

     

    Abstract: Based on the sustainable livelihood analysis framework, this paper analyzed the impact and mechanism of health shocks on the livelihood strategy choices of middle-aged and elderly farmers by using CHARLS data and multi-period double difference method. The results showed that, middle-aged and elderly farmers were more likely to choose agricultural livelihood strategies rather than part-time agricultural and non-farm livelihood strategies after suffering health shocks. The heterogeneity analysis showed that, health shocks more significantly encouraged male farmers to choose agro-based livelihood strategies rather than part-farm livelihood strategies. The health shock, on the other hand, discouraged female farmers from engaging in off-farm livelihood activities. Moreover, the health impact on low-educated farmers was more pronounced, causing them to choose agricultural livelihood strategies and abandon agricultural part-time and non-agricultural livelihood activities. The mechanism test proved that, the lower the level of livelihood capital of middle-aged and elderly farmers, the more likely their livelihood strategy choices were to change due to health shocks. Accordingly, this paper put forward suggestions that, the government should strengthen health poverty alleviation, which provided a theoretical reference for promoting the diversified development of livelihood strategies of middle-aged and elderly farmers.

     

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