农民收入与农业机械化的相关性研究以成都市数据为样本

Study on the Correlation between Farmers’ Income and Agricultural Mechanization: Taking Chengdu City as A Sample

  • 摘要: 本文以成都市1978—2020年的数据为样本建立VAR模型,实证探究成都市农民收入与农业机械化之间的关联程度。研究表明,成都市农民收入与农业机械化水平之间存在单向格兰杰因果关系,农业机械化程度的提高与农民收入之间存在长期稳定的促进作用。因此,为推动农业农村现代化、解决农民持续增收的问题,就需要各级政府采取措施积极培育新型农民,提升农民对农业机械的投资意识,不断深化政府对农业农村的补贴政策,扩大对农业机械化的补贴范围等合理有效的科学决策。

     

    Abstract: Based on the data of Chengdu from 1978 to 2020, this paper established a VAR model to empirically explore the correlation between farmers’ income and agricultural mechanization in Chengdu. The conclusion shows that there is a one-way Granger causality between farmers’ income and the level of agricultural mechanization in Chengdu, and there is a long-term and stable promoting effect between the improvement of agricultural mechanization and farmers’ income. Therefore, in order to promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas and solve the problem of increasing farmers’ income continuously, governments at all levels need to take reasonable and effective scientific decisions, such as actively cultivating new farmers, enhancing farmers’ awareness of investment in agricultural machinery, continuously deepening the government’ s subsidy policy for agriculture and rural areas, and expanding the scope of subsidies for agricultural mechanization.

     

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