中国农村经济韧性评价及影响因素研究

Evaluation of China’ s Rural Economic Resilience and Its Influencing Factors

  • 摘要: 增强农村经济韧性是我国农业产业高质量发展的重要手段之一,对现代农业产业体系构建至关重要。采用熵值法构建了中国农村经济韧性评价指标,并利用因子分析法分析影响农村经济韧性的主要因素。结果表明:(1)中国农村经济韧性存在显著的时间分异特征,在过去30年间从0.125增加到0.911;不同阶段主要因素影响具有显著差异。(2)将收入和消费因子、生产因子、生活和生产保障因子作为影响农村经济韧性的主要公因子,收入和消费因子影响程度最深。文章拓展了中国农村经济韧性在长历史周期内的研究框架,为农村经济在内外部风险冲击下可持续高质量发展提供了理论指导及实践启示。

     

    Abstract: Strengthening the resilience of the rural economy is one of the important means for the high-quality development of agricultural industry, and it is crucial to the construction of modern agricultural industry system. The entropy method was used to construct the evaluation index of China’ s rural economic resilience, and the factor analysis method was used to analyze the main factors affecting the rural economic resilience. The results show that: (1) China’ s rural economic resilience has significant time differentiation characteristics, it increased from 0.125 to 0.911 in resent 30 years; the influence of main factors in different stages has significant differences. (2) In this study, income and consumption factors, production factors, and living and production security factors are regarded as the main common factors affecting the resilience of the rural economy, and the income and consumption factors have the deepest influence. This paper expands the research framework of China’ s rural economic resilience in the long historical cycle, and provides theoretical guidance and practical inspiration for the sustainable and high-quality development of the rural economy under the impact of internal and external risks.

     

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