云南省乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调发展研究

The Coupling Coordinated Development of Rural Revitalization and New Urbanization in Yunnan Province

  • 摘要: 乡村振兴与新型城镇化的协调发展是缩小城乡发展差距、实现城乡共荣的重要保障。基于云南省2008—2019年相关时间序列数据,构建其乡村振兴与新型城镇化综合评价指标体系,运用耦合协调度与Tobit模型对两者之间的耦合协调水平及驱动机制进行分析。结果显示,云南省乡村振兴与新型城镇化水平总体呈上升趋势,耦合度处于中等耦合水平,且变化幅度较小,耦合协调度则呈逐年上升趋势,实现了从高度失调到初步协调的跨越。驱动机制分析中,技术驱动、政府驱动、产业驱动对云南省乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调发展产生正向效应,消费与投资驱动则产生负向效应。基于研究结论,提出应坚持城乡协同发展原则,促进资源要素在城乡间的自由流动与合理配置,加大技术创新投入为城乡经济发展培育新动能等建议。

     

    Abstract: The coordinated development of rural revitalization and new urbanization is an important impetus to narrow the gap between urban and rural development and realize the co-prosperity of urban and rural areas. Based on the relevant time series data of Yunnan Province from 2008 to 2019, the paper constructs its comprehensive evaluation index system of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization, the coupling coordination level and driving mechanism between them are analyzed by using the coupling coordination degree and Tobit model. The results show that the level of rural revitalization and new-type urbanization in Yunnan Province generally shows an upward trend, the coupling degree is at the medium coupling level, and the range is small, while the coupling coordination degree shows an upward trend year by year, achieved from a high degree of maladjustment to the initial coordination of the span. In the analysis of driving mechanism, technology-driven, government-driven and industry-driven have positive effects on rural revitalization and new urbanization in Yunnan Province, while consumption-driven and investment-driven have negative effects. Based on the research conclusion, it is proposed that we should adhere to the principle of coordinated development between urban and rural areas, balance the development status of urban and rural areas, and promote the free flow and rational allocation of resource elements between urban and rural areas, suggestions on increasing input of technological innovation to foster new driving force for urban and rural economic development.

     

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