农业人口结构变动特征及其对乡村振兴的政策启示基于安徽省农业普查数据的分析

The Characteristics of Agricultural Population Structure Change and Its Policy Enlightenment to Rural Revitalization: Analysis on the Agricultural Census Data of Anhui Province

  • 摘要: 利用2006—2016年农业普查数据分析了安徽省农业人口结构变动特征及其面临的突出困境。研究表明,从数量结构来看,安徽作为农业人口大省的属性没有根本性改变,农业人口分布显示出“北密南稀”;从性别结构来看,农村妇女非农化进程加快,越来越多的农村妇女脱离农业进入非农部门,农业女性化现象并不明显;从年龄结构来看,农业劳动力老龄化正在加深,农村人口老化与农业人口老化问题并存;从素质结构来看,农业劳动力受教育水平提升极为缓慢,整体处于小学和初中水平;从流动结构来看,农业发展对剩余劳动力的挤出效应以及城镇化、工业化的劳动力吸纳效应将持续发挥。鉴于此,在全面推进乡村振兴中,一要树立农业劳动力安全观,积极应对农业农村人口快速老龄化;二要加速启动农民职业化工程,培育新型职业农民;三要改变农业生产的组织经营方式,提高土地集中率、提高机械化水平;四要加大农业社会化和农村数字化建设,让更多主体参与农业农村现代化。

     

    Abstract: This study mainly analyses the change characteristics of agricultural population structure in Anhui Province and its prominent difficulties, by the use of the agricultural census data from 2006 to 2016. It shows that,from the perspective of the quantity structure, the attribute of Anhui as a province with large agricultural population does not change fundamentally, and the distribution of agricultural population has the characteristics of “dense in the north and sparse in the south” . From the perspective of gender structure,more and more rural women leave agriculture for the non-agricultural sector, which is accelerating, and the phenomenon of agricultural feminization is not obvious. From the perspective of age structure, the aging of agricultural labor force is deepening,the aging of rural population exists together with the aging of agricultural population. From the perspective of quality structure, the education level of agricultural labor force has improved extremely slowly, which is generally at the level of primary school and junior high school. From the perspective of flow structure, the extrusion effect of agricultural development on surplus labor and the labor absorption effect of urbanization and industrialization will continue to play. Based on all of these, during the overall promotion of rural revitalization, firstly we should set up the safety concept of agricultural labor force, and react actively to the rapid aging of agricultural and rural population. Secondly, we should accelerate the start of farmers’ professionalization project and cultivate the new type of professional farmers. Thirdly, we should change the organization and management methods of agricultural production, increase the concentration rate of land and improve the mechanization level. Fourthly, we should socialize agriculture and digitize rural areas so that more entities can participate in agricultural and rural modernization.

     

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