非农就业、极端气候变化感知对小农户绿肥施用意愿的影响基于冀、鲁、豫、皖四省小麦主产区的调查

Effects of Off-farm Employment, Extreme Climate Change Perception on Farmers’ Willingness to Use Green Manure:The Investigation of Main Wheat Producing Areas in Hebei, Shandong, Henan and Anhui

  • 摘要: 绿肥可以降低农业面源污染、改善土壤肥力、提高单产水平,是保障粮食安全的关键,对推动我国粮食发展有重要作用,然而农户对绿肥的施用意愿并未得到广泛关注。基于要素诱致性技术创新理论,从非农就业与极端气候变化感知的视角,分析农户对绿肥的施用意愿。根据分层抽样法获取冀、鲁、豫、皖四省的调研数据,运用描述性统计与二项Logit模型得出以下结论:(1)非农就业对农户施用绿肥有消极影响,且非农就业程度越高对施用绿肥的意愿越低;(2)极端气候变化感知对农户施用绿肥有积极影响,与一般农户相比,感受到极端气候变化的农户更愿意施用绿肥来弥补水土流失等造成的粮食产量下降等问题。研究可以为制定绿肥激励政策提供相关参考。

     

    Abstract: Green manure can reduce agricultural non-point source pollution, improve soil fertility and increase grain production, which plays a crucial role in promoting China’ s food development. However, the willingness to use green manure of farmers’ has not been widely concerned. Based on the theory of factor induced technological innovation, this study analyzes farmers’ willingness to use green manure from the perspective of off-farm employment and extreme climate change perception. Using descriptive statistics and binomial logit model, the results show that: (1) Off-farm employment has a negative impact on willingness to use green manure. And the higher the employment level of off-farm farmers, the lower the willingness of farmers to use green manure; (2) Moreover, extreme climate change perception has a positive impact on small farmers’ use of green manure, small farmers who feel extreme climate change are more willing to use green manure to make up for the decline of grain yield caused by soil erosion. This study can provide a reference for green manure incentive policy.

     

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