任丹丹. 安徽省生产性服务业影响因素的实证分析[J]. 云南农业大学学报(社会科学), 2020, 14(6): 54-61. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-390X(s).202003037
引用本文: 任丹丹. 安徽省生产性服务业影响因素的实证分析[J]. 云南农业大学学报(社会科学), 2020, 14(6): 54-61. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-390X(s).202003037
REN Dandan. Research on Impact of Productive Services in Anhui Province[J]. Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University (Social Science), 2020, 14(6): 54-61. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-390X(s).202003037
Citation: REN Dandan. Research on Impact of Productive Services in Anhui Province[J]. Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University (Social Science), 2020, 14(6): 54-61. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-390X(s).202003037

安徽省生产性服务业影响因素的实证分析

Research on Impact of Productive Services in Anhui Province

  • 摘要: 生产性服务业对于产业结构优化、经济的增长有显著的促进作用。根据安徽省1989—2018年时间序列数据,运用灰色关联分析筛选出与生产性服务业密切相关的影响因素,再使用VAR模型及脉冲响应函数、方差分解对安徽省生产性服务业发展的主要影响因素与其之间的关系进行实证分析。结果表明:经济发展水平、创新水平和产业融合程度是安徽省生产性服务业发展的关键影响因素。创新水平对安徽省生产性服务业有明显的促进作用,并且其对生产性服务业的贡献度大于产业融合程度和经济发展水平;经济发展水平对安徽省生产性服务业的作用相对微弱;产业融合程度对安徽省生产性服务业的发展有促进作用。

     

    Abstract: The productive service industry has significantly promoted the optimization of industrial structure and economic growth. Based on the time series data of Anhui province from 1989 to 2018, the grey relation analysis was used to screen out the influential factors that are closely related to the productive service industry, and then the VAR model, impulse response function and variance decomposition were used to make an empirical analysis on the relationship between the main influencing factors and the development of producer services in Anhui province. The results show that the level of economic development, the level of innovation and the degree of industrial integration are the key factors affecting the development of productive services in Anhui province. The level of innovation has an obvious promoting effect on productive services in Anhui province, and its contribution to productive services is greater than the degree of industrial integration and the level of economic development. The effect of economic development level on productive services in Anhui province is relatively weak. The degree of industrial integration promotes the development of producer services in Anhui province.

     

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